October 17, 2019

Fantasy Football: Week 2 Survivor Pool

Survivor

Hopefully you survived Week 1. It wasn’t quite as simple as I’d hoped it would be. My suggestion of Pittsburgh torpedoed a couple of entries for me and there’s nothing worse than losing an entry in the first week. However, I’m here to redeem myself.

Bye week: None

Survivor Pool – Week 2 selections

Here is what we have for a top 10 from Office Football Pool and Yahoo! as of late Saturday night:

Office Football Pool

Yahoo! Survival Football

Rank

Team

Percent

Rank

Team

Percent

1

New England Patriots (W)

20.60%

1

Baltimore Ravens

23.67%

2

Houston Texans

19.40%

2

New England Patriots (W)

21.09%

3

Baltimore Ravens

15.10%

3

Oakland Raiders

11.92%

4

Philadelphia Eagles

9.80%

4

Houston Texans

11.30%

5

Oakland Raiders

9.60%

5

Atlanta Falcons

10.75%

6

Atlanta Falcons

8.50%

6

Philadelphia Eagles

5.42%

7

Green Bay Packers

6.60%

7

Green Bay Packers

3.40%

8

Cincinnati Bengals

3.30%

8

New Orleans Saints

3.23%

9

Chicago Bears

2.20%

9

Cincinnati Bengals

2.99%

10

New Orleans Saints

1.80%

10

Chicago Bears

1.56%

The Patriots have advanced teams through to Week 2. Truth be told, the Pats would have been far down my list for many of the reasons that played out on Thursday night. They don’t have a lot of offensive weapons and the Jets’ defense is solidly above average. Keep that in mind as we meander through the season.

If you still have to make a call this week, is the next logical choice the Texans or the Ravens? Or neither… Week 2 presents another slate I don’t really like.

Here are my choices for Week 2 in order of preference:

  1. Houston Texans – The Texans looked pretty awful last week against a Chargers team of which little is expected. However, they picked up the win and I think they will have more success at home. They have all of the offensive weapons they need and Jake Locker at QB should help the Texans’ defense immensely. I give the Texans a 75% chance to win.
  2. Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles offense looked unstoppable in the first half, but slowed in the second half and they allowed Washington back into the game. The Chargers looked unstoppable in the first half and then just blew a tire (or two) on their way to losing to the Texans in Week 1. I think the Eagles are the better squad, are at home and the Chargers have to make the west to east trip. I give the Eagles a 72% chance of winning.
  3. Green Bay Packers – The Pack have one of the top five offenses in the league and Washington defense likely can’t keep up. There are two defensive injuries to be aware of in this game – it looks like Brandon Meriweather will make it back on the field for Washington. He will go a long way to nullifying Jermichael Finley (who has a toe injury to deal with as well). On the Pack side, Morgan Burnett missed Week 1 and is questionable for Week 2. His absence could open up the middle of the field for Washington and Robert Griffin III. I give the Packers a 68% chance of winning.
  4. Cincinnati Bengals –Ben Roethlisberger will be running for his life all day as his offensive line has been decimated and he has the Three Stooges in his backfield. A big Monday night in Cincy should be enough to push the Bengals past the Steelers. I give the Bengals a 66% chance to win.
  5. Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens got waxed on the road at Denver in Week 1. They now faceoff with division rival Cleveland. The Ravens’ offense is not a thing of beauty as they only have one legitimate WR and no TEs. That said, the Browns may be missing safety T.J. Ward and could struggle to contain even this poor an offense. I give the Ravens a 61% chance to win.
  6. Chicago Bears – Talking about a one dimensional offense in a division game – the Vikings have one dimension (but Adrian Peterson is one heckuva dimension). I think the Bears’ offense can be more balanced this season and should take this divisional game at home. Remember, Christian Ponder is the QB for the Vikings. I give the Bears a 60% chance to win.
  7. Oakland Raiders – The Jags are bad and they are on the road. However, they get Chad Henne at QB and still have MJD in the backfield. The Raiders should win, but they have no-names almost everywhere on the team. This is a high risk move that might make sense in larger pools. I give the Raiders a 58% chance to win.

Other teams I like this week: None

As for the avoid list, I would stay away from the New Orleans Saints on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs looked awful in Week 1 and their team seems to be in disarray already. However, the Saints are wholly different team outside of a dome. It was a wild game last year in Tampa and we could see something similar again. You will have better opportunities down the road to take the Saints.

If you get bonus points for picking an underdog, I’d think about the Arizona Cardinals against the Lions. The Lions have a great offense, but not much of a defense. The Cardinals have a good defense and a better offense now that it seems Larry Fitzgerald will play.

Just a reminder, if you ever wanted to see what Vegas thinks each team’s “chances of winning” are, use this handy little converter to transform money lines into win percentages. You can also create a spreadsheet if you’d like (or use this one – scroll to the bottom) to do it for fun at home. This percentage chance to win is another quick way to gauge win expectations for each team each week. You can get a variety of money lines here or here

Chris Garosi is a contributor for District Sports Page. One of his favorite sports memories is witnessing Wilson Alvarez’s no-hitter at Memorial Stadium in 1991. Chris has played fantasy sports since the pre-Internet days and participates in any league for any sport to which he’s invited. He even won an XFL fantasy league. Really. You can follow him on Twitter at @chrisgarosi.

About Chris Garosi

Chris Garosi is a Contributor to District Sports Page. He has played fantasy sports since paper, pencil and fax machines were key components in every league. He’s written about fantasy sports since 2012 for District Sports Page, TheFantasyFix.com, Scout Fantasy and RotoCurve. He’s even available to you via DraftValet. He has his MBA from The Smith School at the University of Maryland. One of his favorite sports memories is witnessing Wilson Alvarez’s no-hitter at Memorial Stadium in 1991. You can follow him on Twitter at @chrisgarosi

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