October 31, 2014

Washington Nationals Minor League and Prospect Report for August 3rd

Another week of minor league baseball is in the books. Here are some players making headlines inside the Washington Nationals’ organization. [Read more...]

Washington Nationals Minor League and Prospect Report for Week Ending June 15th

Another week of minor league baseball is in the books. Here are some names around the Washington Nationals’ organization that are making headlines. Notice that the Auburn Doubledays have begun their schedule. [Read more...]

Washington Nationals’ Minor League and Prospect Report for Week Ending May 11th

Syracuse Chiefs, AAA International League, 19-17

Brian Goodwin: The last time we checked in with Goodwin, his season wasn’t starting off as well as he might have hoped. Recently, however, he’s turned things around. He’s picked up seven hits in his last 10 games including a 2-for-4 effort on Sunday afternoon. In the same stretch, he’s 2-for-2 on stolen base attempts. It’s his first season at triple-A and it looks as though he’s getting used to things in Syracuse.

Michael Gonzalez: Formerly of the Nationals’ bullpen, Gonzalez has pitched well in five appearances out of the Chiefs’ bullpen. In 5.2 innings of work, he’s given up just three hits while striking out six and, most importantly, has yet to give a run.

Johnatan Solano: The former backup catcher for the Nationals, Solano is tearing it up at triple-A this year. He leads the team in average (.298) and homers (5). He’s picked up at least one hit in eight of the team’s last 10 games including two homers. On the year, he’s knocked in 19 RBI.

Harrisburg Senators, AA Eastern League, 11-23

Destin Hood: Hood began the year at Triple-A, but was moved down to Harrisburg after just 11 games. In 19 games with the Senators, he’s thrived. He’s averaging .329 with a double, homer and 5 RBI in Double-A ball. In his last 10 games, he’s got 10 hits including a 3-for-4 night on May 8. On the base paths, he’s a perfect 6-for-6 on stolen base attempts.

Matt Grace: Left-handed reliever Matt Grace has proven to be a solid arm out of the bullpen for the Senators. In 19.1 innings of work spanning 11 appearances, Grace has given up 17 hits and 5 runs (3 earned) all while striking out 17. The Nationals were hurting for left-handers in their big league bullpen, but they’ve got several good ones, like Grace, coming through the system.

Matt Skole: It’s been a couple weeks since we checked in with one of the brightest young stars in the Nationals’ system, but things haven’t gotten much better for Skole as the year’s progressed. He’s shown some spark at times, but his average still hovers at .189 and he hit his first homer of the season on Saturday. This is Skole’s first full year at Double-A, so hopefully he still working through some growing pains.

Potomac Nationals, High-Class A Carolina League, 19-14

Ronald Pena: Starting right-hander Ronald Pena is a pitcher on the rebound for the single-A P-Nats. After giving up 13 runs combined in his first three starts, he’s settled in as of late. In his most recent start on May 7, he lasted a season-long six innings and gave up just two runs on four hits. While Potomac lost the game, it’s encouraging to see some life in Pena’s stuff on the mound.

Brandon Miller: Statistically, it’s been an odd start to the month of May for outfielder Brandon Miller. While he’s batting just .146, he’s got a hit in six of the team’s 10 games this month. While he hasn’t gotten multiple hits in a game, his one hit is usually a productive swing. This month, Miller has hit a double, three homers and has eight RBI.

Cole Leonida: Catcher Cole Leonida is having a solid season. Averaging a start every 3-5 days, he’s making his moments in the spotlight count. In 12 games this year, Leonida is batting .270 with six doubles, two homers and five RBI. His OPS of .995 leads the team, as well.

Hagerstown Suns, Low-Class A South Atlantic League, 27-8

Lucas Giolito: Giolito has made the report before, but his most recent start on Sunday afternoon has earned him the right to be mentioned. In his seventh start of the season, Giolito threw six scoreless innings of a game that went just seven innings due to it being part of a double-header. In the start, he gave up just one hit, one walk and struck out seven. His ERA drops to 2.51, his opponents batting average drops to .186 and he’s now struck out 36 batters this season.

Craig Manuel: Catcher Craig Manuel is averaging a start every 3-4 days for the Suns and is doing well when he gets his opportunities. His average is hovering at .300 and has picked up a hit in all but one of his last 10 games. Currently, he’s on a five-game hitting streak after hitting a double on Sunday evening.

Jake Walsh: Closer Jake Walsh has been a reliable pitcher out of the bullpen for Hagerstown. In 15 innings spanning 10 games, he’s given up just three runs (two in one game) and seven hits. On top of that, he’s also struck out 16 batters. After pitching two scoreless innings on Sunday evening, the left-hander has dropped his season ERA to 1.80.

Washington Nationals 2014 Top 25 Prospects: Nos. 11-15

In this series, District Sports Page will provide detailed scouting reports on our list of Top 25 Washington Nationals prospects. You can find our overview with the entire list here.

Here’s our scouting reports on prospects Nos. 21-15 and prospects Nos. 16-20.

Without further ado, here are prospects Nos. 11-16.

 

11. Matt Skole, 1B
Bats: Left, Throws: Right
Height: 6′ 4″, Weight: 220 lb.
Born: July 30, 1989 in Woodstock, Georgia, US (Age 24)
Draft: 5th Round, 2011

Hitting Ability Raw Power Power Frequency Plate Discipline Speed Base Running Fielding Range Arm Strength Arm Accuracy Overall Future Potential
35/45 65/70 55/60 65/65 35/35 40/40 40/45 35/35 55/55 40/50 MLB Starter

Skole’s plus raw power and hulking build got him drafted in the 5th round of the 2011 draft, and he immediately made the Nationals look wise for signing him by mashing throughout his superb full-season debut in 2012. He hit a monster .286/.438/.574 for the Hagerstown Suns, and raked 27 homers and 44 extra-base hits in just 101 games there. His performance earned him South Atlantic MVP honors and he was named the Nationals Minor League Player of the Year. His left-handed power and plate discipline looked like it was going to put him on the fast track, especially because the Nationals were looking for contributors in both of those areas. There wasn’t an encore in 2013 however, as Skole injured his non-throwing elbow while fielding last spring. He was forced to get reconstructive elbow surgery, wiping out his season.

Skole is now healthy and showing off his plus left-handed power and plate discipline in front of the big club’s coaching staff in spring training. Matt Williams likes what he sees, and even compared him to Jim Thome.

Skole’s bat is almost ready to do damage in the Majors, and his home-run power will translate. He has a massive build, with a thick base, a powerful core and tons of strength. He carries a big stick to the plate, showing outstanding bat speed and strength in his cut. He takes a long, graceful swing that generates backspin and consistent loft. He’s also a very disciplined hitter, showing superb pitch selection and feel for the strike zone. The combination of his power and batting eye might even be enough to make him an average or better hitter, as he works the count and puts only hard-hit balls in play. That may be a stretch to project though, as his large strike zone and long, pull-oriented swing makes him susceptible to good off-speed stuff. On the bright side, he hasn’t had any trouble handling left-handed pitching in the minors.

Skole’s bat is legitimate thunder, but his lack of other tools and poor fielding will be a tough sell for a starting job, at least until there’s an opening at first base. He has some arm strength, but doesn’t have the athleticism or balance to man any other position in the MLB effectively. The overall package is still very promising, though, and he has a high floor. Skole is a solid bet to carve out a nice career for himself as a Raul Ibanez type player or a left-handed Mike Morse.

 

12. Matt Purke, LHP
Bats: Left, Throws: Left
Height: 6′ 4″, Weight: 205 lb.
Born: July 17, 1990 in Nacogdoches, Texas, US (Age 23)
Draft: 3rd Round, 2011

Fastball Velocity Fastball Movement Fastball Command Cutter Slider Change Off Speed Command Delivery Overall Future Potential
50/60 60/65 45/55 50/55 50/60 40/50 40/50 Poor Timing MLB Starter

Purke was a big name coming out of Klein High School in Texas. He posted a 12-1 record and a 0.37 ERA as a senior, he dominated on the showcase circuit and with Team USA, and he boasted a 94-mph heater (though he clocked 95 mph at the 2008 Aflac All-American Game). He also thew a vicious slider and curveball from the left side, making him virtually unhittable to high school competition. Of course, that profile made him one of the most prized amateur prospects in the game, irregardless of his strong college commitment. The Rangers drafted him 14th overall in 2009 and offered him a whopping $6 million to sign. Because the franchise was in dire financial straights at the time and temporarily in control by the MLB, the commissioner vetoed the deal. Purke ended up turning down a hefty $4 million offer and heading to college.

Purke fulfilled his commitment to Texas Christian University, and ended up dominating his competition to the tune of a 21-1 record, a 2.61 ERA and 203 strikeouts in 169 college innings between 2010 and 2011. His fastball clocked in the mid 90’s in many of his appearances, even hitting 97 mph. Once again, Purke was one of the most coveted arms. Unfortunately, he got shutdown with shoulder problems in April 2011, and his velocity subsequently dropped into the high 80’s. Yet another tough break, the injury killed his draft stock and he slid to the 96th overall slot. The Nationals signed him to a $4 million MLB deal, believing he could get the electricity back, though injury problems have continued to hamper his production in the pro’s.

Purke is a smart pitcher and has a plan on the mound. When he’s at his best, he has solid fastball command to go with a deceptive delivery, a nice feel for pitching and plus stuff. His fastball velocity, which was consistently plus before his shoulder problems, was back up to the low 90’s in the Arizona Fall League this winter, and some of the bite on his slider returned. He doesn’t have the 95 mph heat that he used to, sitting more int he 89-93 mph range at his best, and his off-speed stuff isn’t quite as sharp, but his flashes of brilliance indicate he still has serious upside. The returning arm strength is obviously a good sign. He showed the Nationals what he can do when he’s healthy during his 2013 AFL stint, taking home Player of the Week honors at the end of October.

Purke is tough to project. When he was healthy, his stuff was elite for a left-hander. His fastball sat 91-94 mph with movement, and his slider is one of the best among southpaw prospects. The problem is though, that he’s rarely been healthy these past few years, and his stuff has fluctuated. He looked good in 2013 overall, posting a 3.80 ERA and a 3.28 K/BB between Hagerstown and Potomac, showing he can get batters out with or without his best stuff. In many of his starts, his heater was clocking mostly in the high 80’s, and his slider looked flat. In others, he was back up to 90-93 mph and his slider had late break. He almost always looked like he had a plan on the mound though, and he is adept at changing speeds and keeping opposing hitters off balance.

Despite his ability to repeat his delivery, and throw with a nice slide step, Purke’s mechanics and arm action have serious red flags. He wraps and contorts his shoulder on the back-end of his delivery, causing his arm to lag well behind his body. While this adds a lot of deception, it also puts a dangerous amount of pressure on his shoulder and elbow. These issues not only make him fragile, but they deplete his stuff quickly as his pitch count climbs. Unless he fixes them, they’ll ultimately put him in the bullpen (or under the knife). As a reliever, Purke’s stuff and feel for pitching would make him a dominant arm in the back-end of the bullpen and a surefire MLB contributor.

 

13. Austin Voth, RHP
Bats: Right, Throws: Right
Height: 6′ 1″, Weight: 190 lb.
Born: June 26, 1992 in Redmond, Washington, US (Age 21)
Draft: 5th Round, 2013

Fastball Velocity Fastball Movement Fastball Command Cutter Slider Change Off Speed Command Delivery Overall Future Potential
55/60 55/60 45/60 45/55 40/50 40/45 45/55 Average MLB Starter

Undrafted out of high school, Voth improved steadily in each of his three seasons at the University of Washington. He posted a 5.19 ERA as a freshman, and then lowered his era to 4.28  over 69.1 innings in his sophomore season before putting together a sparkling 2.99 mark last spring. The muscular 6’1″ bulldog gained considerable muscle in his core and lower body during his college career, helping his fastball improve to the consistent 90-93 mph range. He ended up striking out 99 batters in 105.1 innings in 2013, second in the Pac-10 to Mark Appel. The Nationals selected him in the 5th round of the draft, and then watched him dominate opposing hitters in three stops between the rookie leagues and low-A ball later last summer.

Voth’s drop-and-drive delivery draws every bit of power from his stocky, bulldog frame–generating plenty of spin and velocity on his pitches. Opposing batters have a hard time picking him up, as his delivery hides the ball and his pitches seem to have extra hop on them. His low 90’s fastball explodes out of his hand as if it were considerably faster, generating tons of whiffs.

Voth’s build, delivery and stuff resemble the Astros’ Anthony Bass, though his overall command has a chance to be superior. When he’s on, he works both sides of the plate like a veteran big leaguer, and he uses the natural lateral movement on his pitches to miss the barrel. He works effectively low in the zone with his tailing 2-seamer and disappearing cutter. His fastball scrapes the mid 90’s when he maxes out, suggesting he might be able to harness that velocity more consistently in shorter stints. He also throws a workable change-up and a slurvey slider that comes out of the same tunnel as his fastball. He varies the velocity and depth on the breaking ball, and it should be MLB-average.

Voth doesn’t have a long and athletic build, he doesn’t light up the radar gun, and his stuff isn’t overly exciting, but he’s a smart, polished pitcher, with a deep arsenal of solid pitches. The overall profile may not be flashy, but it’s the kind that will rack up a lot of quality innings and give the teams he pitches for a chance to compete almost every night.

Moving forward, Voth’s ability to locate his off-speed pitches and develop a true MLB swing-and-miss pitch will largely determine whether or not he will be able to fool more advanced batters. If his stuff continues to come along, he should reach his ceiling as a reliable back-of-the-rotation starter. His stamina and efficient delivery make him a nice fit for the job, although, in such a pitching-wealthy organization he may eventually be ticketed for the bullpen.

 

14. Blake Treinen, RHP
Bats: Right, Throws: Right
Height: 6′ 4″, Weight: 215 lb.
Born: June 30, 1988 in Ossage City, Kansas, US (Age 26)
Draft: 7th Round, 2011, Oakland A’s

Fastball Velocity Fastball Movement Fastball Command Slider Change Off Speed Command Delivery Overall Future Potential
70/70 60/60 55/60 45/50 35/40 40/45 Average MLB Starter

Treinen–who came to the Nationals as a throw-in via the Mike Morse trade–is an oddity. Though he was an honorable-mention All-Area pick as a senior at Ossage City high school, he was actually cut from his JV team at Baker College. Very few pro players were cut from their JV teams, especially as late as college. But after re-tooling his delivery and committing himself to a rigorous strengthening routine and mechanical development under friend/coach Don Czyz, Treinen stepped on the mound for the Arkansas Razorbacks a couple years later with a mid 90’s fastball. Oakland’s scouts got a look at him soon after, and the rest is history.

A couple of years after getting drafted by the A’s in the 7th round, Treinen has developed to the point where he’s looking like a future MLB closer. He’s old for his development level, but Treinen performed nicely as a starter for Harrisburg last year — posting a 3.64 era, a 2.61 K/BB and a well above-average 3.22 G/F over 21 appearances. He simply keeps getting better and better, and has already left a great first impression on new Nationals skipper Matt Williams in spring camp.

Treinen has an electric fastball that he whips at the plate with an over-the-top arm slot. His heater sits firmly in the 93-95 mph range with great downward angle, and he’s able to throw in the high 90’s with command. He maintains his velocity like few pitchers in the game–touching 97 mph into the late innings of his starts. He displays solid-average feel and command of his heater, getting on top of it and attacking the four corners of the strike-zone with an exhausting fearlessness. He likes to use his four-seamer to jam opposing hitters by pitching them aggressively inside, relying heavily on the pitch. But, he also throws a hard sinking 2-seamer with heavy break under the hands of right=handed-hitters.

Left-handers get a better look at Treinen, as he’s a fastball pitcher without the deep repertoire to throw off their timing. His aggressiveness in the strike zone makes him prone to a lot of hard contact, and the confidence he lacks in his secondary pitches leaves him vulnerable to hits–considering his special arm talent. To polish his game some omre, he’s learning to cut his four-seamer on the hands of left-handed hitters, and he’s started throwing his mid-80’s slider with back-door break, off the outside to neutralize them. His breaking ball has come a long way since his early days in the California League, showing hard, downer break. It has solid average potential now that Treinen is using it more often in different counts–not just as a chase pitch. He also throws a below-average changeup that clocks 85-90 mph. He focused on refining it and mixed it into his repertoire consistently throughout 2013. It should be a reliable third pitch if the club continues to develop him as a three-pitch starter.

Treinen’s excellent fastball, his build and his ability to attack the strike zone and keep the ball on the ground make him one of the best kept secrets in the minors.  His age and his short repertoire keep him from profiling as a high-end starter in the big leagues, but his floor is high. If he continues to put the extra work in and develop at such a steady pace, he should be a quality 4-5 starter in a contender’s rotation or a superb bullpen weapon, with the upside of a closer.

 

15. Jefry Rodriguez, RHP
Bats: Right, Throws: Right
Height: 6′ 5″, Weight: 185 lb.
Born: July 26, 1993 in Haina, DO (Age 20)
Undrafted

Fastball Velocity Fastball Movement Fastball Command Curve Split Off Speed Command Delivery Overall Future Potential
60/70 55/60 40/55 40/60 30/45 30/45 Very Good MLB Starter

Long, lanky and raw, Rodriguez is far from the Big Leagues but has the ingredients to be a top prospect with more seasoning. He put himself on the map last season when he impressed the Nationals as a headlining member of a dominant young GCL staff.  He posted a 2.45 ERA in 47.1 innings (12 starts), and whiffed 43 batters while allowing 20 walks and only one home run. A converted infielder, Rodriguez won’t be 21 until late July and has only 90 innings of professional pitching under his belt to date. In those 90 innings however, he has shown tremendous potential and made considerable strides with his control between 2012 and 2013.

Blessed with a long, lithe frame, he bears a strong physical resemblance to former MLB fireballer Jesus Colome. He whips fastballs like Colome, with a four-seamer that clocks 92-93 consistently and hits 97-mph on the radar gun. His delivery is loose, and so is his arm action — showing easy arm speed that indicates he has room for added velocity. His off-speed stuff needs a lot more refinement, but that’s understandable seeing how new to pitching he is. He already spins a sharp downer curveball in the high 70’s that has nice potential. He also throws a low 80’s splitter that he has trouble releasing consistently and he’ll probably scrap it for a change-up in the future.

Rodriguez is a nice athlete, boasting body control and flexibility, and he has a long 6’4″ frame that offers plenty of room for added strength and velocity. His delivery is fluid already and he has remarkably consistent timing for his age. His arm action looks clean, but his arm slot and release point do waver, and his stuff fluctuates. He has plenty of time to sure-up his technique, of course.

Rodriguez has become a favorite of Nationals pitching coordinator Spin Williams, along with the rest of the organization, for his stuff and athleticism. He’s an aggressive pitcher with plus velocity and movement on his pitches, and his fastball has sink to it. The package is pretty much everything you need for a bright future on the mound, and though he has a long way to go, Rodriguez looks like the real deal.

 

2014 Washington Nationals Top 25 Prospects: Scouting Prospects 11-25

 

Nationals Top 25 Prospects Home

Scouting Reports on Prospects #1-10

 

 

Prospects #11-20

Matt Skole

Hitting Ability Raw Power Power Frequency Plate Discipline Speed Baserunning Fielding Range Arm Strength Arm Accuracy Overall Future Potential
35/45 65/70 55/60 65/65 35/35 40/40 40/45 35/35 55/55 40/50 MLB Starter

Skole’s plus raw power and hulking build got him drafted in the 5th round of the 2011 draft, and he immediately made the Nationals look wise for signing him by mashing throughout his superb full-season debut in 2012. He hit a monster .286/.438/.574 for the Hagerstown Suns, and raked 27 homers. His performance earned him South Atlantic MVP honors and he was named the Nationals Minor League Player of the Year. There wasn’t an encore however, as he injured his elbow while fielding last spring and was forced to get reconstructive elbow surgery, wiping out his season.

Skole is now healthy and showing off his plus left-handed power and plate discipline in front of the big club’s coaching staff in spring training. Matt Williams likes what he sees, and even compared him to Jim Thome.

Skole’s bat is almost ready to do damage in the Majors, and his home-run power will translate. He’s a very disciplined hitter, showing superb pitch selection and feel for the strikezone. His power and batting eye might even be enough to make him an average or better hitter, though his long, pull-oriented swing makes that a stretch to project. His lack of other tools and poor fielding will be a tough sell until there’s an opening at first base, as he doesn’t have the tools to man any other position in the MLB effectively. He could carve out a nice career for himself as a Raul Ibanez  type player or a left-handed Mike Morse.


 

 

Matt Purke

Fastball Velocity Fb Movement Fb Command Cutter Slider Change Off Spd Cmd Delivery Overall Future Potential
55/60 60/60 45/55 50/55 55/60 40/45 40/50 Poor Timing MLB Starter

Purke was a big name coming out of Klein High School in Texas. He posted a 12-1 record and a 0.37 ERA as a senior, dominated on the showcase circuit and with Team USA, and he boasted a 92 mph heater and vicious slider from the left side. The Rangers drafted him 14th overall in 2009 and offered him a whopping $6 million to sign, but the MLB vetoed the deal. He fulfilled his commitment to Texas Christian University, and ended up dominating his competition to the tune of a 21-1 record, a 2.61 ERA and 203 strikeouts in 169 college innings between 2010 and 2011. Unfortunately, shoulder problems killed his draft stock and injury problems have continued to hamper his production in the pro’s.

Purke is a smart pitcher and has a plan on the mound. When he’s at his best, he has solid fastball command to go with a deceptive delivery, a nice feel for pitching and plus stuff. His fastball velocity, which was consistently plus before his shoulder problems, was back up to the low 90’s in the Arizona Fall League this winter, and some of the bite on his slider returned. That’s obviously a good sign, and he showed the Nationals what he can do when he’s healthy during his AFL stint, taking home Player of the Week honors at the end of October.

Purke is tough to project. When he’s healthy, his stuff is elite for a left-hander. His fastball sits 91-94 mph with movement, and his slider is one of the best among southpaw prospects. The problem is though, that he’s rarely been healthy these past few years, and his stuff has fluctuated. In some of his starts last season his heater was clocking mostly in the high 80’s, and his slider was flat. Despite his ability to repeat his delivery, and throw with a nice slide step, his mechanics and his arm action has a serious red flags. These issues may keep him out of the rotation ultimately, but if he stays healthy, his stuff would make him a dominant back-end reliever.

Austin Voth

Fastball Velocity Fb Movement Fb Command Cutter Slider Change Off Spd Cmd Delivery Overall Future Potential
55/60 55/60 45/60 45/55 40/50 35/40 40/50 Average MLB Starter

Undrafted out of high school, Voth improved steadily in each of his three seasons at the University of Washington. He posted a 5.19 ERA as a freshman, and then lowered his era to 4.28  over 69.1 innings in his sophomore season before putting together a sparkling 2.99 mark last spring. The muscular 6’1″ bulldog gained considerable muscle in his core and lower body during his college career, helping his fastball improve to the consistent 90-93 mph range. He ended up striking out 99 batters in 105.1 innings in 2013, second in the Pac-10 to Mark Appel. The Nationals in the 5th round of the draft, and watched him dominate opposing hitters in three stops between the rookie leagues and low-A ball later this summer.

Voth’s drop and drive delivery adds deception to his pitches, and his low 90’s fastball jumps at hitters as if it were even harder. He gets nice movement on his pitches and works low in the zone. He also throws a strong change and slurvy curveball. He has the stamina and efficient delivery to carry his velocity late into his starts. He’s not flashy, but he could be a very solid fourth or fifth starter. He may eventually be ticketed for bullpen, where he’s a potential Craig Stammen type, multi-inning guy.

Blake Treinen

Fastball Velocity Fb Movement Fb Command Slider Change Off Spd Cmd Delivery Overall Future Potential
70/70 60/65 55/60 45/50 40/45 40/50 Average MLB Starter

Treinen–who came to the Nationals as a through-in via the Mike Morse trade–is an oddity. While he has one of the best fastballs in the minors and is a top-shelf talent, he is largely obscure as a prospect due to an extraordinarily short resume–even when compared to late-round draft picks and top college players.

Though he was an honorable-mention All-Area pick as a senior at Osage City high school (Kansas), Treinen was a non=prospect in high school and early college. He was in poor shape, with a short stature and as a type-II diabetic his non-existant weight training regiment kept his arm strength from developing. He played just two full seasons of varsity baseball in high school due to his health issues.

Treinen’s college baseball career started off similarly. By the time he was 18, he’d actually grown to over 6’1″, but he was actually cut to their JV team at NAIA Baker College. Very few pro players were cut from their  teams, especially as late as college and especially at a level where talent is so scarce. At the time though, Treinen’s fastball barely reached 80 mph, and when he transferred to Arkansas to play DI baseball, he was  passed over altogether.

Treinen set out to get in shape and get back to the game. He  re-tooled his delivery, committed himself to a rigorous weight-training routine and developed his mechanics under friend/coach Don Czyz, He was rewarded for his commitment, not only developing a powerful body and fluid delivery, but also growing nearly four more inches. Miraculously, Treinen stepped on the mound for the South Dakota State Jackrabbits a couple years later with a low 90’s fastball. The rest is history.

A couple of years after getting drafted by the A’s in the 7th round, Treinen has developed to the point where he’s looking like a future MLB ace or closer. He’s old for his development level, but Treinen performed nicely as a starter for Harrisburg last year–posting a 3.64 era, a 2.61 K/BB and a well above-average 3.22 G/F over 21 appearances. He simply keeps getting better and better, now pitching with a mid 90’s heater and excellent fastball command. He has already left a great first impression on new Nationals skipper Matt Williams in spring camp.

Treinen has electric stuff. His fastball sits firmly in the 93-95 mph range, touching 97 mph into the late innings, and he displays solid-average command of it. His best pitch is his heavy tailing 2-seamer, which grades out as plus-plus for velocity, movement and command. It’s a heavy bat-breaker, darting down and away to his arm side, and he trusts it enough to pound the strike zone with it.

While his sinker has developed into his go-to, Treinen isn’t a pure sinker/slider guy. He’s not afraid of straight balling. He likes to use his four-seamer to attack left-handed hitters by pitching them aggressively inside. Unfortunately, his tall, pop-and-drop delivery and heavy fastball reliance gives left-handed hitters a vastly better look at him. They’ve been able to pick up his arm and hit him like a vasty inferior pitcher throughout his pro career. His tendency to live on the white part of the plate limits his strikeouts, and lefties have shown the ability to punish his sinker as soon as he makes a mistake. To better neutralize southpaws that can turn on his velocity, he’s learning to make then uncomfortable–cutting his four-seam fastball on their knuckles, and then using his two-seamer and change off the outside to force them to slow their hands down.

Treinen’s off-speed stuff his most obvious improvement over the past two years. After relying almost solely on his fastball early in his career, he now has two decent off-speed pitches. He throws a fringy slider that shows above-average bite and depth when he’s feeling it. It has solid-average potential, clocking in the low-mid 80’s with disappearing break.  His command of the breaking pitch is behind his fastball and his tendency to under throw it makes it’s effectiveness inconsistent. His change remains below average despite the extra work he put into it last offseason, and there’s no telling how much he’ll trust it against MLB hitters. It’s clearly his third pitch, and he uses it mainly as a show-me against southpaws. But, it does have fastball arm-speed and it is good enough to round-out his game arsenal.

Treinen’s nasty power sinker is one of the best pitches in the minors. Now that he’s developed a strong breaking pitch and a game-worthy slider to go with it, Treinen projects well as a top shelf mid-rotation starter. He could’ve been an even better prospect if not for his lack of high-level competitive pitching and his (still) short off-speed repertoire. Regardless, the Nationals rotation depth means they’ll probably put him in the bullpen–where his power sinker-slider combo could play up to a special level. In that role, he could scrap his change-up and focus on what he’s good at–bringing the heat and killing right-handed hitters. His ground-ball rates and ability to keep the ball in the park are extraordinary, while his efficiency and command are excellent as well. The combination makes him a perfect fit for the late innings when the margin for error is tight. His strikeout rate, while somewhat low pitching out of the rotation will also likely increase as his stuff will have more power, and he won’t have to focus on keeping his pitch counts low. He could even end up as a closer, with a profile similar to Jim Johnson’s.

Jefry Rodriguez

Fastball Velocity Fb Movement Fb Command Curve Split Off Spd Cmd Delivery Overall Future Potential
60/70 55/60 40/55 40/60 30/45 30/45 Very Good MLB Starter

Long, lanky and raw, Rodriguez impressed the Nationals last season as a part of a dominant young GCL staff.  A converted infielder, Rodriguez is only recently celebrated his 20th birthday and has only 90 innings of professional pitching under his belt. In those 90 innings however, he has shown tremendous potential.

Blessed with a long, lithe frame, he bears a strong resemblance to former MLB fireballer Jesus Colome. He whips fastballs like Colome, with a four-seamer that clocks 92-93 consistently and hits 97 mph on the radar gun. His delivery is loose, and so is his arm action–showing easy arm speed that indicates he has room for added velocity. He also spins a sharp downer curveball in the high 70’s that has nice potential. He also throws a low 80’s splitter that he has trouble releasing consistently. His delivery is fluid and he has remarkably consistent timing for his age, though his arm slot and release point waver.

Rodriguez has become a favorite of Nationals pitching coordinator Spin Williams–along with the rest of the organization–for his stuff and athleticism. He’s an aggressive pitcher with plus velocity and movement on his pitches, and his fastball has sink to it. The package is pretty much everything you need for a bright future on the mound, and though he has a long way to go, Rodriguez is the real deal.

Washington Nationals Top 25 Prospects Overview

For the Washington Nationals, the flip-side of  a decade-long losing streak is their extraordinarily talented, affordable roster. Their poor records came at the perfect time, just as baseball scouting was expanding and implementing new analytics methods to assess performance, and the big league draft was still unfettered by a hard-slotting system. As a result, their savvy front office accumulated a bevy of high draft picks and used them to rake in a gluttonous share of the baseball’s best athletes.

The Nationals were able to heist the franchise talents of Stephen Strasburg, Bryce Harper, Lucas Giolito, Anthony Rendon and Ryan Zimmerman, along with a bounty of other blue-chip prospects. The injection of young, affordable star-power led them to put together the franchise’s best stretch over the past three years, and they managed to snap a 31-year playoff drought in 2012.

Despite a step back in Major League production in 2013, the Nationals are still looking stronger than ever heading into the 2014 season. Healthy and more polished versions of Strasburg and Harper lead a stacked 25-man roster that is looking almost unbeatable following the addition of Doug Fister and the maturation of Anthony Rendon.

The franchise’s farm system isn’t what it was a couple of years ago. Naturally, promoting so many stud prospects to the Major Leagues and competing with homegrown talent comes with a price. Over the past few seasons, the club’s farm system has graduated starting pitchers Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Ross Detwiler, Taylor Jordan and Tanner Roark, gifted relievers like Storen,  Stammen and Ian Krol (now with the Tigers), as well as a long list of position players that includes Harper, Zimmerman, Rendon, Ian Desmond, Danny Espinosa, Wilson Ramos and Derek Norris (with the Athletics). Two thirds of their projected opening day roster is comprised of homegrown players, or former prospects that spent their final seasons in the Nationals farm system.

Additionally, the cost of winning has dropped the club’s annual draft slot to the back of the line, and has forced the front office to play for the short term. They’ve traded away blue-chip prospects like Alex Meyer, Derek Norris and Robert Ray for short-run contributions, and have also parted ways with sure-fire contributors like Nate Karns, Tommy Milone, David Freitas and Steve Lombardozzi.

So, the Nationals don’t have the prospect starpower they normally do. A couple of years ago, they had the best system in the minors. Now, though they’re still strong, they’ve faded to the middle of the pack.

The Nationals savvy amateur scouting, particularly out West, has helped Mike Rizzo maintain a competitive farm system in spite of the organizations determination to put a winning roster on the field annually.

The farm system lacks balance. It doesn’t have a stand-out prospect at the upper levels at the moment, and the losses of Nate Karns, Alex Meyer and Robbie Ray have depleted a lot of their pitching depth.  Their lack of left-handedness was also exacerbated by the Doug Fister trade, which sent the extremely underrated Robbie Ray to Detroit along with Ian Krol–who’s poised to be an elite-level left-handed setup man. To get a southpaw in the bullpen finally — a void that killed their bullpen effectiveness last year as opposing managers were able to stack their lineups with lefty sluggers — the front office had to deal Billy Burns to Oakland for Jerry Blevins. While Burns isn’t a star, the little speedster looks like a superb fourth outfielder and pinch runner.

On the bright side, the lower levels of the system do sport many of the game’s most gifted athletes. 2013 first-round pick Lucas Giolito, now recovered from Tommy John surgery, is an elite-level arm when healthy, and has the stuff, intangibles and command to be an ace in a few years. Brian Goodwin, Harrisburg’s center fielder in 2013, has gotten stuck in double-A over the past two years after rising quickly through single-A ball. Though Goodwin’s five-tool profile pretty much makes him a sure bet to be a valuable player in the MLB.

The Nats didn’t have a first-round pick last June, but still made the most of their resources by grabbing a pair of high-ceiling stars from cowboy country. Former Dallas Baptist right-hander Jake Johansen largely flew under the radar in college, but his mid 90’s fastball and NFL tight end frame bless him with intriguing upside. And farmboy Drew Ward, taken in the third round last year, profiles as a left-handed version of Nolan Arenado.

Over the next few weeks, we’ll post detailed scouting reports on the players that made District Sports Page’s list of Top 25 Prospects in the Nationals organization. Below, though, are the names of the Nats’ top prospects to watch this season.

Top 25 Prospects

1. Lucas Giolito, RHP

13. Blake Treinen, RHP

2. Brian Goodwin, OF

14. Austin Voth, RHP

Robert Ray, LHP

15. Jefry Rodriguez, RHP

3. AJ Cole, RHP

16. Tony Renda, 2B

Nate Karns, RHP

17. Felipe Rivero, LHP

4. Drew Ward, 3B

18. Christian Garcia, RHP

5. Steven Souza, OF

19. Sandy Leon, C

6. Zach Walters, SS

20. Drew Vettleson, OF

7. Michael Taylor, OF

Adrian Nieto, C, 

8. Sammy Solis, LHP

21. Cody Gunter, 3B

9. Jake Johansen, RHP

22. Nick Pivetta, RHP

10. Eury Perez, OF

23. Rafael Bautista, OF

11. Matt Skole, 3B

24. Brett Mooneyham, LHP

12. Matt Purke, LHP

25. Pedro Severino, C

Billy Burns, OF 

Honorable Mention: Dixon Anderson, Aaron Barrett, Cutter Dykstra, Randy Encarnacion, David Napoli, Travis Ott, Raudy Read, Danny Rosenbaum, Hector Silvestre, Maximo Valerio

________________________

Ryan Kelley is a Contributor to District Sports Page. He’s a web application developer by day and an aspiring sports journalist living in the D.C. area. He has lived in Washington since graduating from The George Washington University and has past experience working within Minor League Baseball and for Team USA. He is founder of BaseballNewsHound.com, and specializes in scouting prospects playing in leagues on the East Coast and in the Mid-Atlantic region. A life-long ballplayer himself, he enjoys hitting home runs with his writing and scouting reports. You can follow him on Twitter @BBNewsHound and @Ryan_S_Kelley.

Washington Nationals Spring Training: Nats top Marlins 10-3 in Fister’s debut

Washington Nationals prized off-season acquisition starter Doug Fister made his first appearance of the spring and veteran first baseman Adam LaRoche homered as the Nats walked over the Miami Marlins 10-3 at Space Coast Stadium in Viera.

LaRoche homered in the fourth inning off Marlins lefty Brian Flynn. LaRoche hit .198/.254/.313 against left-handers in 2013.

Fister worked two innings, allowing a run on two soft hits. He walked one and struck out two. In the second inning, Derrick Deitrich doubled on a broken bat flare and came home on a bloop single to center by Reed Johnson.

The Nats worked over Miami’s bullpen in the middle innings. In the fifth, Jeff Kobernus tripled, scoring Nate McLouth, then scored on an Ian Desmond groundout.

Then in the seventh, a walk to Brock Peterson forced home Zach Walters (2-for-2). Matt Skole doubled to plate two, then Peterson scored on a sac fly by Michael Taylor.

Walters added a triple in the eighth inning, which scored Steven Souza.

Wilson Ramos went 2-for-3 with a run and an RBI earlier in the game.

Prospect Sammy Solis threw two shutout innings, allowing two hits and no walks.

The Nats travel to Tampa on Monday to face the New York Yankees at 1:05 pm ET.

Washington Nationals Spring Training 2014 Preview, Part I: The Infield

Ryan Zimmerman gets Matt Kemp out in top of 5th (third baseman Ryan Zimmerman to first baseman Adam LaRoche) - Los Angeles Dodgers v. Washington Nationals, Game One of Doubleheader on September 19, 2012 (Cheryl Nichols/District Sports Page)

Ryan Zimmerman is a key component to Nats playoff hopes. (stock photo by Cheryl Nichols/District Sports Page, Sept. 2012)

 

As a whole, the Washington Nationals return mostly intact from the teams that won 98 games in 2012 and 86 games in 2013. This is a veteran team with high aspirations of competing in the World Series. I hardly think rookie manager Matt Williams will boldly proclaim “World Series or Bust” as his predecessor did, but the implications are there.

If the team overachieved in ’12 and underachieved last season, what is the logical progression for 2014? If the ’12 and ‘13 results had been flipped, I think everyone would be riding the Nats as an odd-on favorite this season. They may be anyway.

With a rotation as solid No. 1 through No. 4 as any in baseball, a deep bullpen, an infield full of silver sluggers and a versatile outfield led by a burgeoning superstar, the Washington Nationals seem poised to make noise this season on a national level.

For the next two weeks, District Sports Page will preview the Washington Nationals 2014 season. This week, we’ll do profiles of the players on the 40-man roster and significant non-roster invitees, players that have a chance to make an impact on the Nats roster this season.

Here’s the schedule:

Monday: The Infield
Tuesday: The Outfield
Wednesday: The Catchers
Thursday: The Rotation
Friday: The Bullpen

In week two, we’ll profile the manager and front office, reveal our Top-25 minor leaguers and prospects, examine the “big picture” the Nats this season, and do a little statistical analysis and projecting.

With no further adieu… [Read more...]

World Series or Bust–Washington Nationals 2013 Roundtable Part V: Prospect Watch

With opening day right around the corner, each day until then District Sports Page’s Nats staff will take a look at one of the biggest issues concerning your 2013 Washington Nationals. We borrowed a quote for the title of the series from Nats manager Davey Johnson’s Spring Training proclamation that he expects a “World Series or Bust” in Natstown this season.

We’ve also invited the other credentialed blogs to chip in with their answers. Then on Opening Day, look for the results to the DC Chapter of the Internet Baseball Writers Association Preseason Survey, where we polled The Natosphere on various topics related to the Nats, as we have for the last several seasons.

Participants:

Dave Nichols, Editor-in-Chief, District Sports Page
Alyssa Wolice, Staff Writer, District Sports Page
Ted Starkey, Contributor to DSP, author and Editor at SBNation.com
Ryan Kelley, DSP Prospects Writer and founder of BaseballNewshound.com
Patrick Reddington, Editor, Federal Baseball
Joe Drugan, Managing Editor, The Nats Blog
Tom Bridge, Editor, WeLoveDC.com

Part I: Grading the Offseason
Part II: What do you expect from Bryce Harper?
Part III: What aspect of the Nats has you most excited for the coming season?

Part IV: What aspect of the Nats has you most concerned?

Part V: Which prospect are you most looking forward to following this summer? [Read more...]

Washington Nationals make more cuts: Rendon, Perez, Skole & more

The Washington Nationals made another round of cuts Thursday morning before hosting the Houston Astros at Space Coast Stadium, bringing the spring roster down to 42.

The club optioned outfielder Eury Perez to AAA-Syracuse and right-handed pitcher Nathan Karns, catcher Sandy Leon and infielder Anthony Rendon to AA-Harrisburg. Additionally, the Nationals re-assigned left-handed pitcher Pat McCoy and infielders Will Rhymes and Matt Skole to minor league camp.

Rendon put together a very impressive big league camp. The 22-year-old third baseman went 12-for-32 (.375/.412/.875) with four home runs, four doubles and 11 RBIs while with the Nats this spring. He accumulated 28 total bases in 13 games.

Perez, 22, went 8-for-23 (.348/.375/.348) with four runs scored, two stolen bases and no extra-base hits.

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